The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.
How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW)
The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.
This situation creates a trade-off for the European Central Bank, because a more expansionary monetary policy cannot mitigate the supply bottlenecks and supply-side restrictions, while a more restrictive monetary policy would slow down the economic recovery. For this reason, key interest rate hikes in the eurozone are not to be expected for 2022. If the supply-side factors become persistent and wage policy tries to pass the price effects on, monetary policy will be forced to become restrictive
How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW)
Geldpolitik in unterschiedlichen konjunkturellen Umfeldern
Nach den starken Anstiegen in den Jahren 2022 und 2023 haben sich die Teuerungsraten im Euroraum und den USA wieder ihren geldpolitischen Inflationszielen von zwei Prozent angenähert.
IW
Mercosur-Handelsabkommen: Wichtiges Zeichen zur richtigen Zeit
Die Europäische Kommission und die Mercosur-Staaten haben heute nach über 25 Jahren ihr Freihandelsabkommen fertig verhandelt. Das ist ein wichtiges Zeichen für die Stärke der EU, das auch der deutschen Wirtschaft Auftrieb verschaffen kann.
IW