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Markus Demary / Michael Hüther in Intereconomics External Publication 15. February 2022 How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone

The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.

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How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
Markus Demary / Michael Hüther in Intereconomics External Publication 15. February 2022

How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.

This situation creates a trade-off for the European Central Bank, because a more expansionary monetary policy cannot mitigate the supply bottlenecks and supply-side restrictions, while a more restrictive monetary policy would slow down the economic recovery. For this reason, key interest rate hikes in the eurozone are not to be expected for 2022. If the supply-side factors become persistent and wage policy tries to pass the price effects on, monetary policy will be forced to become restrictive

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External Publication
How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
Markus Demary / Michael Hüther in Intereconomics External Publication 15. February 2022

How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Who pays, who gets?
Berthold Busch / Björn Kauder / Samina Sultan IW-Report No. 34 12. August 2024

The EU and money: Who pays, who gets?

The German net position fell slightly in 2023 compared to the previous year, from 19.7 billion euros to 17.4 billion euros. However, it is still significantly higher than in the pre-Brexit period.

IW

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Hubertus Bardt IW-Policy Paper No. 5 23. July 2024

Trump or Harris or ...? What Europe must prepare for

A few months before the presidential election in the USA, Donald Trump has a good chance of being re-elected. On the Democratic side, the incumbent president has withdrawn his candidacy after a long period of hesitation, while Vice President Kamala Harris is ...

IW

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