The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.
How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
German Economic Institute (IW)
The rapid recovery of demand combined with supply constraints has led to rising prices during the past months. This is evident in oil and gas markets, but also in international trade, which has been thrown out of step by bottlenecks at Asian ports.
This situation creates a trade-off for the European Central Bank, because a more expansionary monetary policy cannot mitigate the supply bottlenecks and supply-side restrictions, while a more restrictive monetary policy would slow down the economic recovery. For this reason, key interest rate hikes in the eurozone are not to be expected for 2022. If the supply-side factors become persistent and wage policy tries to pass the price effects on, monetary policy will be forced to become restrictive
How Large Is the Risk of Stagflation in the Eurozone
German Economic Institute (IW)
More on the topic
![[Translate to English:] Das Gebäude des Weißen Hauses in Washington, D.C. in den Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika. [Translate to English:] Das Gebäude des Weißen Hauses in Washington, D.C. in den Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika.](/fileadmin/_processed_/c/1/csm_GettyImages-2161499385_White_House_Editorial_884306add8.jpg)
Trump or Harris or ...? What Europe must prepare for
A few months before the presidential election in the USA, Donald Trump has a good chance of being re-elected. On the Democratic side, the incumbent president has withdrawn his candidacy after a long period of hesitation, while Vice President Kamala Harris is ...
IW
Compendium 5.5: CO2 Regulation of Road Transport in Europe
With the Compendium CO2 Regulation in Europe, the IW has been providing the interested public with a comprehensive collection of data on the development of CO2 emissions from passenger car traffic in the European Union, as well as on the applicable regulatory ...
IW