Up-to-date projections of population development are relevant for many economic issues. Reflecting this, the Cologne Institute for Economic Research’s stochastic population forecast incorporates Germany’s record immigration in 2015 and the likelihood of high net immigration of some 850,000 in 2016. Based on these assumptions, by 2035 the population can be expected to have reached a total of 83.1 million, an increase of around 1.2 million. In the long run net immigration will fall again to 218,000 persons. However, this population increase will not prevent the ageing of German society, and the challenges of demographic transition – in the labour market and the social security systems, for example – will remain acute.
Children with Non-German-Speaking Parents: an Analysis Based on the Socio-Economic-Panel (SOEP)
Children whose parents lack a good command of German are at a clear disadvantage in the German education system. A dedicated analysis of the Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) shows that, in 2019, for 10.5 per cent of children under 16 at least one parent, and for ...
Emigration from Germany with an overall very positive migration balance
Germany is an immigration country that has recorded large migration gains in recent years. However, the numbers of departures were also at a very high level in 2019 with 1.2 million and 2020 with 970,000. This is mainly explained by the fact that many forms of ...
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German Economic Institute 
