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Ralph Henger / Christian Oberst / Michael Voigtländer Expertise 7. October 2019 Mobility and housing: New perspectives for urban development

Population growth in many of Germany’s major cities and metropolitan areas, and the resulting urgent growth in housing demand, are driving rapid construction of new residential properties in these markets.

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New perspectives for urban development
Ralph Henger / Christian Oberst / Michael Voigtländer Expertise 7. October 2019

Mobility and housing: New perspectives for urban development

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Population growth in many of Germany’s major cities and metropolitan areas, and the resulting urgent growth in housing demand, are driving rapid construction of new residential properties in these markets.

It is becoming increasingly evident that in the short and medium term the additional demand for housing cannot adequately be met solely by lifting the potential for inner-city development, particularly in rapidly growing areas; it also requires the development of entirely new residential districts on the urban fringe. In order to avoid a growth of motorised individual traffic, it is vital that these new districts are well integrated into the existing public transport system. At the same time, this need for effective public transport must not pose excessive cost burdens for local governments, and hence hinder the emergence of these indispensable new neighbourhoods. The present study examines the prerequisites and conditions for the successful development of these new residential districts in metropolitan areas.

The central component of the study is an analysis of the empirical relationship between availability of public transportation and market prices of local residential properties. The study applies a spatial econometric hedonic price model to housing market data from three regions – Cologne, Karlsruhe and Stuttgart – in order to account for heterogeneity and location of individual properties on the market, thereby isolating price, quality and location factors. The results demonstrate that, where public transportation connections to newly developed urban districts have resulted in a travel time reduction of 30 minutes, local property prices have risen by 3.6 per cent in Karlsruhe, 5.4 per cent in Stuttgart, and 9.0 per cent in Cologne. The study therefore concludes that the provision of good public transportation connections in newly developed districts on the outskirts of metropolitan areas is associated with higher residential property prices, as well as lower mobility costs.

If one further juxtaposes these findings against the empirically determined cost parameters for various public transport construction projects, it is evident that the costs for the development of public transport are, from a societal perspective, outweighed by the resulting socio-economic benefits. This creation of value should provide justification to local governments not only in their land development decisions but also in their participation in the financing of public infrastructure projects.

The study illustrates how the successful development of new urban districts and their connection to public transport can be successfully realised and financed using three selected national and international case studies. The new neighbourhoods in the cities of Vienna, Copenhagen and Freiburg show how lively, diverse new neighbourhoods with a mix of housing and property usage forms can be created and financed, while at the same time providing the social and ecological benefits of good access to public transport and a resulting low proportion of motorised individual transport.

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New perspectives for urban development
Ralph Henger / Christian Oberst / Michael Voigtländer Expertise 7. October 2019

Mobility and housing: New perspectives for urban development

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How the Berlin Rent Cap Affected Private Landlords
Pekka Sagner / Michael Voigtländer IW-Trends No. 3 20. August 2021

How the Berlin Rent Cap Affected Private Landlords

The effects of the Berlin rent cap on the city’s housing market were wide-reaching, with the supply of rental accommodation falling by more than half while the cap was in force.

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Pekka Sagner / Maximilian Stockhausen / Michael Voigtländer IW-Analyse No. 136 21. July 2020

Housing – the new social question?

The sharp rise in rents and housing prices in the 2010s, particularly in the major conurbations, has led some to assert that housing is “the social question of our time”.

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