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Michael Grömling / Michelle Koenen / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst / Sandra Parthie in Intereconomics External Publication 17. October 2023 Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment

The war in Ukraine has exacerbated pre-existing production problems in manufacturing networks originating from the coronavirus pandemic. Material shortages are compounded by uncertainties about sufficient energy supplies.

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External Publication
Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment
Michael Grömling / Michelle Koenen / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst / Sandra Parthie in Intereconomics External Publication 17. October 2023

Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

The war in Ukraine has exacerbated pre-existing production problems in manufacturing networks originating from the coronavirus pandemic. Material shortages are compounded by uncertainties about sufficient energy supplies.

Above all, energy has become more expensive for European industrial companies. All this has raised the question of whether permanent changes in economic structures will occur in the wake of these geo-economic burdens. Nevertheless, European economies differ significantly in their manufacturing shares, in the importance of energy-intensive industries and in their energy supply. Based on a survey of members of AIECE, an association of European economic research institutes, the risk of deindustrialisation in Europe is assessed. Thirteen out of 20 AIECE institutes stated that they do not expect the current energy problems and the associated price effects to have a permanent impact on the economic structure of their own country. However, the institutes also point out that structural changes may occur because energy-intensive industries may relocate to non-European countries. In contrast, relocation effects within Europe are estimated to be negligible.

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External Publication
Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment
Michael Grömling / Michelle Koenen / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst / Sandra Parthie in Intereconomics External Publication 17. October 2023

Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Samina Sultan at IEP@BU Policy Brief External Publication 17. April 2024

Not so Different?: Dependency of the German and Italian Industry on China Intermediate Inputs

On average the German and Italian industry display a very similar intermediate input dependence on China, whether accounting for domestic inputs or not.

IW

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Jürgen Matthes in Intereconomics External Publication 9. April 2024

China’s Trade Surplus – Implications for the World and for Europe

China’s merchandise trade surplus has reached an all-time high and is likely to rise further. A key driver appears to be a policy push to further bolster Chinese domestic manufacturing production, implying the danger of significant overcapacities.

IW

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