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Thomas Obst

Dr. Thomas Obst

Senior Economist

Tel: +49 30 27877-135 Thomas Obst
  • Since 2019 at the IW
  • Since 2021 Senior Economist for Foreign Business Cycles and Macroeconomic Modeling in the Themecluster global and regional markets
  • Since 2019 Personal Assistant to the Director at the Institute of the German Economy
  • Since 2018 Lectureship at the University of Siegen on Special Aspects of Plural Macroeconomics
  • 2016-2019 Research Assistant (PostDoc) at the Chair of Economics at the Viadrina University in Frankfurt (Oder), Germany
  • 2013-2016 PhD in Economics at the University of Greenwich, London on the topic "The interaction of income distribution and economic growth in the context of European Imbalances".
  • 2011-2013 Master's degree in International Economics at the Berlin School of Economics and Law.
  • Since 2021 Lectureship in Macroeconomics at the University of Applied Sciences in Pforzheim
  • Research interests: International macroeconomics and economic governance, growth and distribution, business cycles, economic policy

IW Publications

Obst, Thomas / Stockhausen, Maximilian, 2024, Makroökonomische Analyse von Lohn-Preis-Spiralen. Risiken von Zweitrundeneffekten in der gegenwärtigen Hochinflationsphase, IW-Analyse, Nr. 155, Berlin / Köln
Zur Studie

Kolev-Schaefer, Galina / Obst, Thomas / Puls, Thomas, 2024, Auswirkungen des Nahostkonflikts auf die deutsche Wirtschaft, IW-Report, Nr. 1, Köln / Berlin
Zur Studie

Obst, Thomas / Sultan, Samina, 2023, Polen vor der Wahl – Wirtschaftsmodell im Wandel. Analyse des wirtschaftlichen Aufstiegs und der künftigen Herausforderungen, IW-Report, Nr. 51, Berlin / Köln
Zur Studie

Bardt, Hubertus/ Demary, Markus / Grömling, Michael / Hüther, Michael / Kauder, Björn / Obst, Thomas / Puls, Thomas / Schaefer, Thilo / Schäfer, Holger, 2022, IW-Konjunkturprognose Winter 2022. Konjunktur in der Grauzone, IW-Report, Nr. 67, Berlin / Köln
Zur Studie

Grömling, Michael / Koenen, Michelle / Kunath, Gero / Obst, Thomas / Parthie, Sandra, 2022, AIECE General Report Autumn 2022 Part I, IW-Report, Nr. 65, Köln / Berlin / Brüssel
Zur Studie

Kunath, Gero / Matthes, Jürgen / Obst, Thomas, 2022, Biden’s economic agenda risks mid-term elections. An analysis of Biden’s economic agenda and its effects on the American econo-my, IW-Report, Nr. 59, Köln / Berlin
Zur Studie

Koenen, Michelle / Kunath, Gero / Obst, Thomas, 2022, Europa an der Schwelle zur Rezession?, IW-Report, Nr. 40, Berlin
Zur Studie

Kolev, Galina / Obst, Thomas, 2022, Global value chains of the EU member states. Policy options in the current debate, IW-Report, Nr. 4, Köln / Berlin
Zur Studie

Bardt, Hubertus / Demary, Markus / Grömling, Michael / Hentze, Tobias / Hüther, Michael / Obst, Thomas / Pimpertz, Jochen / Schaefer, Thilo / Schäfer, Holger, 2021, IW-Konjunkturprognose Winter 2021. Produktionsstörungen, Preiseffekte und Pandemie-Politik, in: IW-Trends, 48. Jg., Nr. 4, Köln / Berlin
Zur Studie

Diermeier, Matthias / Hüther, Michael / Obst, Thomas, 2021, Wunsch und Wirklichkeit: Kaum Ausgabenspielräume in der neuen Legislaturperiode. Zwischen Schuldenbremse und Steuererhöhungen, IW-Report, Nr. 33, Köln / Berlin
Zur Studie

Bardt, Hubertus / Diermeier, Matthias / Grömling, Michael / Hüther, Michael / Obst, Thomas, 2021, Lieferengpässe und Preisentwicklungen bei Rohstoffen und Vorleistungen. Corona Echo Effekte oder ‚here to stay’?, IW-Report, Nr. 27, Köln / Berlin
Zur Studie

Obst, Thomas / Schläger, Dan, 2021, Kosten-Nutzen Überlegungen zu Lockdowns – was übersehen wir?. Kosten-Nutzen Überlegungen zu Lockdowns, IW-Kurzbericht, Nr. 33, Berlin
Zur Studie

Hüther, Michael / Jung, Markos / Obst, Thomas, 2021, Chancen für Wachstum und Konsolidierung. Arbeitskräftepotenziale der deutschen Wirtschaft, IW-Policy Paper, Nr. 10, Köln
Zur Studie

External Publications

Obst, Thomas, 2023, Deindustrialization in Europe – Time for a new Economic Model?, in: Institute of International Relations, National University of La Plata, Argentina, https://www.iri.edu.ar/index.php/2023/09/26/deindustrialization-in-europe-time-for-a-new-economic-model-por-thomas-obst/
Zur Studie

Matthes, Jürgen / Grömling, Michael / Demary, Markus / Kauder, Björn / Busch, Berthold / Kunath, Gero / Obst, Thomas, 2023, Why Price Stability Matters, Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies, Brussels, 83 Seiten
Zur Studie

Grömling, Michael / Koenen, Michelle / Kunath, Gero / Obst, Thomas / Parthie, Sandra, 2023, Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment, in: Intereconomics, Vol. 58, No. 4, pp. 209-214
Zur Studie

Obst, Thomas, 2021, Dynamic version of Okun’s law in the EU15 countries. The role of delays in the unemployment‐output nexus, in: Scottish Journal of Political Economy
Zur Studie

Obst, T., Onaran, O. and Nikolaidi, M. (2019): The effects of income distribution and fiscal policy on growth, investment and the budget balance: the case of Europe. Cambridge Journal of Economics, (in Veröffentlichung).

Onaran, O., Obst, T. (2016): Wage-led growth in the EU15 member-states. The effects of income distribution on growth, investment, trade balance and inflation. In: Cambridge Journal of Economics 40 (6), 1517–1551.

Stadtmann, G., Obst, T. (2017): Fiskalpolitik und Fiskalmultiplikator, Beitrag, in: Das Wirtschaftsstudium 46 (8-9), 979–983.

                

More from Dr. Thomas Obst

Read study
A Macroeconomic Analysis of Wage-Price Spirals
IW-Analyse No. 155 9. January 2024

A Macroeconomic Analysis of Wage-Price Spirals

Thomas Obst / Maximilian Stockhausen

The subject of this Analysis is the forms that wage-price spirals can take and how they influence macroeconomic stability and inflationary trends in Germany.

IW

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Effects of the Middle East conflict on the German economy
IW-Report No. 1 2. January 2024

Effects of the Middle East conflict on the German economy

Galina Kolev-Schaefer / Thomas Obst / Thomas Puls

Beyond the humanitarian crisis associated with the geopolitical conflict in Israel, which affects millions of human lives, the Middle East conflict also leaves lasting marks on economic activity not only in the affected region, but also in Germany and the world as a whole. This report discusses the various ways in which the conflict is impacting the German economy.

IW

Read study
External Publication
Deindustrialization in Europe – Time for a new Economic Model?
External Publication 17. November 2023

Deindustrialization in Europe – Time for a new Economic Model?

Thomas Obst in Instiute of International Relations

Since the outbreak of the Corona pandemic in 2020, when the world faced a historic health crisis, countries have faced several challenges.

IW

Read study
External Publication
Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment
External Publication 17. October 2023

Deindustrialisation – A European Assessment

Michael Grömling / Michelle Koenen / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst / Sandra Parthie in Intereconomics

The war in Ukraine has exacerbated pre-existing production problems in manufacturing networks originating from the coronavirus pandemic. Material shortages are compounded by uncertainties about sufficient energy supplies.

IW

Read study
Poland before the election – Economic model in transition
IW-Report No. 51 13. October 2023

Poland before the election – Economic model in transition

Thomas Obst / Samina Sultan

On 15 October 2023, the Polish people will elect a new government. The outcome of this election and the further economic development of the country is also relevant for Europe and in particular for the immediate neighbouring countries, such as Germany.

IW

Read the article
[Translate to English:] Polens Regierungspartei PiS will unbedingt im Amt bleiben - ausgemacht ist das nicht.
Thomas Obst / Samina Sultan IW News 13. October 2023

Elections: Following its "Wirtschaftswunder", Poland must commit to the world

This coming Sunday, Poles will elect a new government. In wake of its remarkable "Wirtschaftswunder" or economic miracle, Poland stands at a crossroads. After experiencing years of economic growth, it has the potential to achieve even greater prosperity, provided it opens up further to the world and manages to find pragmatic solutions to major conflicts with the EU.

IW

Read study
AIECE General Report Autumn 2022 - Part I
IW-Report No. 65 5. December 2022

AIECE General Report Autumn 2022 - Part I

Michael Grömling / Michelle Koenen / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst / Sandra Parthie

Private households, companies and governments in Europe are facing enormous challenges. First, far-reach-ing transformations in economic life are on the horizon for the current decade and beyond. Demographic developments are exacerbating the shortages of skilled workers that already exist in many economies and reinforcing the associated obstacles to production.

IW

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Biden’s economic agenda risks mid-term elections
IW-Report No. 59 8. November 2022

Biden’s economic agenda risks mid-term elections

Gero Kunath / Jürgen Matthes / Thomas Obst

President Joe Biden faces some political and economic headwinds in the upcoming U.S. midterm elections this year. Current economic challenges include historically high inflation rates and signs of an impending recession.

IW

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Economic Impact of the Corona Pandemic and the Ukraine War
IW-Report No. 40 11. August 2022

Europe on the brink of recession?

Michelle Koenen / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst

The European Union is facing one of its biggest crises since the financial crisis of 2008. The pandemic started in 2020 and led to a historical economic downturn in the second quarter of that year.

IW

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Policy options in the current debate
IW-Report No. 4 21. January 2022

Global value chains of the EU member states: Policy options in the current debate

Galina Kolev / Thomas Obst

In 2020, EU companies imported intermediate products worth 2.4 trillion euros, which made up more than half of total merchandise imports of the EU. Compared to the pre-crisis year 2019, imports of intermediates decreased by 13 percent, partly driven by the lower fuel prices.

IW

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