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Sonja Beer IW-Report No. 19 5. May 2022 China's real estate sector: How big is the crisis?

This report analyses the rising risks in the Chinese financial market as well as the current tensions in the Chinese real estate market.

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How big is the crisis?
Sonja Beer IW-Report No. 19 5. May 2022

China's real estate sector: How big is the crisis?

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

This report analyses the rising risks in the Chinese financial market as well as the current tensions in the Chinese real estate market.

Since the introduction of the so-called three red lines and the tightening of the regulation on corporate borrowing rules, some highly indebted real estate companies have run into difficulties. There is a concern that these companies could go bankrupt. Such a development would have negative effects on China's financial market and potentially global financial markets. Due to various factors, this scenario does not seem very likely. However, a broader, far-reaching real estate crisis harbors the risk of significantly dampening China’s economic growth and thus also having a negative impact on the global economy.

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How big is the crisis?
Sonja Beer IW-Report No. 19 5. May 2022

China's real estate sector: How big is the crisis?

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Samina Sultan at IEP@BU Policy Brief External Publication 17. April 2024

Not so Different?: Dependency of the German and Italian Industry on China Intermediate Inputs

On average the German and Italian industry display a very similar intermediate input dependence on China, whether accounting for domestic inputs or not.

IW

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Jürgen Matthes in Intereconomics External Publication 9. April 2024

China’s Trade Surplus – Implications for the World and for Europe

China’s merchandise trade surplus has reached an all-time high and is likely to rise further. A key driver appears to be a policy push to further bolster Chinese domestic manufacturing production, implying the danger of significant overcapacities.

IW

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