IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur German Economic Institute (IW)
IW Forecast for Germany Autumn 2011
Germany’s growth will slow markedly. In spite of the resurgence of financial market problems, a recession seems, nevertheless, improbable. Real GDP will increase by 3 percent in 2011. In 2012, German exports will increase only moderately and dampen corporate investment. Because of the ongoing positive labor market private consumption will continue to buttress the business cycle. In 2012, the German economy will merely grow by 1 ¼ percent. Despite the weakening of the economy there will be more than 41 million employees. The number of registered unemployed will sink to 2.8 million on average. With a deficit of 7 billion euro and a deficit ratio of ½ percent of the GDP the national budget will almost be balanced.
In 2024, the German economy has stagnated, performing at a level that has barely changed since 2019. Its foreign trade is suffering from geopolitical conflicts and the resulting slowdown in the global economy.
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German Economic Institute (IW) 
