IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur German Economic Institute (IW)
IW Forecast for Germany Autumn 2011
Germany’s growth will slow markedly. In spite of the resurgence of financial market problems, a recession seems, nevertheless, improbable. Real GDP will increase by 3 percent in 2011. In 2012, German exports will increase only moderately and dampen corporate investment. Because of the ongoing positive labor market private consumption will continue to buttress the business cycle. In 2012, the German economy will merely grow by 1 ¼ percent. Despite the weakening of the economy there will be more than 41 million employees. The number of registered unemployed will sink to 2.8 million on average. With a deficit of 7 billion euro and a deficit ratio of ½ percent of the GDP the national budget will almost be balanced.
Hubertus Bardt / Michael Grömling in Advances in Resilient and Sustainable Transport External Publication 30. March 2023
Supply Chains, Cost and Investments in Times of Multiple Crises
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has significantly clouded the economic outlook in Germany and worsened the investment climate. The investment gap created in the wake of the Covid pandemic will not be closed for the time being.
Hubertus Bardt / Michael Grömling in Advances in Resilient and Sustainable Transport IW
IW-Cooperationcluster Makroökonomie and Konjunktur IW-Report No. 67 14. December 2022
The IW Economic Forecast Winter 2022: The Business Cycle in the Grey Zone
The geopolitical situation, the global energy and commodity bottlenecks and the resulting high inflation have considerably dimmed the economic outlook across the world. A slowdown in China and in the advanced economies is hampering global growth, with the ...
IW-Cooperationcluster Makroökonomie and Konjunktur IW
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German Economic Institute (IW)