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IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur IW-Trends No. 3 25. September 2013 Lift: But Little Tailwind

IW Economic Forecast, Autumn 2013

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But Little Tailwind
IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur IW-Trends No. 3 25. September 2013

Lift: But Little Tailwind

IW-Trends

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IW Economic Forecast, Autumn 2013

The world economy had been losing its momentum lately. The sovereign debt and banking crises led to recession in Europe while the world’s aspiring economies have been slowing markedly. Knock-on effects from the advanced economies, structural problems and looming capital outflows can explain the latter. However, global prospects have brightened again. Europe has turned the corner and the emerging economies are once more picking up speed. However, the world economy will continue to lack its previous momentum. With Germany’s price competitiveness deteriorating, foreign trade looks set to enjoy only a modest improvement. Overall, investment activity in this country is picking up but will falter again if a favourable tax policy is not maintained. The strong labour market should continue to enliven consumption, but this will remain more of a stabilizing factor than a stimulant. With these givens, the German economy can be expected to grow by around ½ per cent in 2013, with expansion passing the 1 ½ per cent mark in 2014. At 2.86 million, the average annual unemployment rate will be some 6 ½ per cent in 2014. This year the national budget will show a slight deficit but should next year achieve a surplus just short of ½ per cent of GDP.

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But Little Tailwind
IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur IW-Trends No. 3 25. September 2013

IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur: Auftrieb mit wenig Rückenwind – IW-Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2013

IW-Trends

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Disrupted Production, Price Rises and Pandemic Policies
IW-Forschungsgruppe Gesamtwirtschaftliche Analysen und Konjunktur IW-Trends No. 4 29. November 2021

IW Economic Forecast Winter 2021: Disrupted Production, Price Rises and Pandemic Policies

In the course of 2021 Germany’s economic recovery has once again perceptibly lost momentum. After the strain brought about at the beginning of the year by the lockdown for the second and third waves of the Covid19 pandemic, manufacturing and construction ...

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Hubertus Bardt / Matthias Diermeier / Michael Grömling / Michael Hüther / Thomas Obst IW-Report No. 27 9. August 2021

Supply bottlenecks and price developments for raw materials and inputs

Having experienced strict economic lockdowns, the post-pandemic period various sectors report severe supply side bottlenecks and price increases for intermediate goods.

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