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IW-Trends No. 1 11. March 2021 Hubertus Bardt Defense Spending in Germany: High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota

With the overall risk of military conflict and the concomitant threats to political and economic sovereignty showing no sign of letting up, Germany’s armed forces need to be correspondingly manned and equipped. Defence is a key public good that can equally be justified economically.

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High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota
IW-Trends No. 1 11. March 2021 Hubertus Bardt

Defense Spending in Germany: High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota

IW-Trends

Hubertus Bardt German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

With the overall risk of military conflict and the concomitant threats to political and economic sovereignty showing no sign of letting up, Germany’s armed forces need to be correspondingly manned and equipped. Defence is a key public good that can equally be justified economically.

The conflict potential presented by authoritarian governments in and near Europe poses new challenges to which German security policy must respond with appropriate budgets. So far, new demands on the armed forces in an international context have not led to a noticeable increase in German defence spending, which has, on the contrary, fallen significantly since the end of the Cold War. Since the Iron Curtain fell, Germany has achieved much higher and more lasting savings than either France or the United Kingdom and has thus enjoyed by far the greatest peace dividend. Moreover, in the next few years, Germany is likely to continue to miss the NATO target for defence expenditure of 2 per cent of gross domestic product by a wide margin. If it were to be met, Germany’s defence budget for the period between 2021 and 2024 would have to be boosted by an overall 86 billion euros.

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High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota
IW-Trends No. 1 11. March 2021 Hubertus Bardt

Hubertus Bardt: Verteidigungsausgaben in Deutschland – Hohe Friedensdividende und niedrige NATO-Quote

IW-Trends

Hubertus Bardt German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Are the New Federal Government's Measures Having an Effect on Investment in Germany?
IW-Trends No. 4 24. January 2026 Hubertus Bardt / Michael Grömling

Are the New Federal Government's Measures Having an Effect on Investment in Germany?

With German’s industrial crisis worsening in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and recent geopolitical upheavals, a huge investment gap has opened up.

Hubertus Bardt / Michael Grömling IW

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IW-Report No. 57 14. November 2025 Alexander Burstedde / Paula Risius / Hubertus Bardt

Debate on compulsory military service: Attractiveness of the German Armed Forces is crucial

Germany is facing an increased threat level. As a result of Russia's war against Ukraine, a “turning point” (dt.: Zeitenwende) has already been declared. The increase in defense capabilities also includes a significant increase in personnel in the German Armed Forces (dt.: Bundeswehr).

Alexander Burstedde / Paula Risius / Hubertus Bardt IW

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