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Hubertus Bardt IW-Trends No. 1 11. March 2021 Defense Spending in Germany: High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota

With the overall risk of military conflict and the concomitant threats to political and economic sovereignty showing no sign of letting up, Germany’s armed forces need to be correspondingly manned and equipped. Defence is a key public good that can equally be justified economically.

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High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota
Hubertus Bardt IW-Trends No. 1 11. March 2021

Defense Spending in Germany: High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

With the overall risk of military conflict and the concomitant threats to political and economic sovereignty showing no sign of letting up, Germany’s armed forces need to be correspondingly manned and equipped. Defence is a key public good that can equally be justified economically.

The conflict potential presented by authoritarian governments in and near Europe poses new challenges to which German security policy must respond with appropriate budgets. So far, new demands on the armed forces in an international context have not led to a noticeable increase in German defence spending, which has, on the contrary, fallen significantly since the end of the Cold War. Since the Iron Curtain fell, Germany has achieved much higher and more lasting savings than either France or the United Kingdom and has thus enjoyed by far the greatest peace dividend. Moreover, in the next few years, Germany is likely to continue to miss the NATO target for defence expenditure of 2 per cent of gross domestic product by a wide margin. If it were to be met, Germany’s defence budget for the period between 2021 and 2024 would have to be boosted by an overall 86 billion euros.

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High Peace Dividend and Missed NATO Quota
Hubertus Bardt IW-Trends No. 1 11. March 2021

Hubertus Bardt: Verteidigungsausgaben in Deutschland – Hohe Friedensdividende und niedrige NATO-Quote

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Philipp Deschermeier IW-Trends No. 3 14. September 2024

IW Population Forecast 2024

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Sebastian Dullien* / Simon Gerards Iglesias / Michael Hüther / Katja Rietzler* IW-Policy Paper No. 2 14. May 2024

Challenges for the debt brake

In 2019, Bardt et al. (2019) initially presented a comprehensive estimate of the unmet public investment needs in Germany not covered in household planning at the time, totaling around €460 billion over ten years.

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