The Macroeconomic Analysis and the Business Cycle Cluster focuses on short- to medium-term economic developments in the global economy as a whole and in Germany in particular. The 2008/2009 financial crisis, the Covid19 pandemic and current geopolitical conflicts clearly show that the business cycle is alive and well. Indeed, even modern economies can suffer violent ups and downs in production and employment, with boom and bust affecting different sectors and regions in very different ways. As a result of the Covid pandemic and the Russian war in Ukraine, the spectre of inflation is also back in our daily lives. In addition, structural adjustments in the current decade are affecting employment, value added, incomes and prices.
- Home
- Institute
- Main research topics
- Macroeconomics and the Business Cycle
Macroeconomics and the Business Cycle
Contact Persons
![Michael Grömling Michael Grömling](/fileadmin/_processed_/e/6/csm_Gr%C3%B6mling__Michael_02_8c72e6c6fb.jpg)
Prof. Dr. Michael Grömling
Head of Macroeconomic and the Business Cycle Research Unit
Tel: +49 221 4981-776 Mail: groemling@iwkoeln.deAll news
![Trump or Harris or ...? What Europe must prepare for Trump or Harris or ...? What Europe must prepare for](/fileadmin/_processed_/a/9/csm_IW-Policy-Paper_2024-Trump_Harris_fa8ea1096a.png)
Trump or Harris or ...? What Europe must prepare for
A few months before the presidential election in the USA, Donald Trump has a good chance of being re-elected. On the Democratic side, the incumbent president has withdrawn his candidacy after a long period of hesitation, while Vice President Kamala Harris is highly likely to run for the Democrats. This means very different policy scenarios for economic policy and international policy issues that are particularly relevant for Europe.
Hubertus Bardt IW
![CO2 Regulation of Road Transport in Europe CO2 Regulation of Road Transport in Europe](/fileadmin/_processed_/1/d/csm_0724_Kompendium_5.5_Englisch_Abschnitt_Antriebe_und_Kraftstoffe_2112dc2927.png)
Compendium 5.5: CO2 Regulation of Road Transport in Europe
With the Compendium CO2 Regulation in Europe, the IW has been providing the interested public with a comprehensive collection of data on the development of CO2 emissions from passenger car traffic in the European Union, as well as on the applicable regulatory framework, since 2015.
Thomas Puls IW
![Competitive pressure from China for German companies Competitive pressure from China for German companies](/fileadmin/_processed_/e/8/csm_IW-Report_2024-Umfrage-China-Konkurrenz_ed11573210.png)
Competitive pressure from China for German companies
A firm survey conducted in March/April 2024 as part of the IW-Zukunftspanel among around 900 German companies from the manufacturing and industrial services sectors shows that around 350 of the companies surveyed have Chinese competitors in their markets.
Jürgen Matthes / Edgar Schmitz IW
![Europe votes: Who cares and why? Europe votes: Who cares and why?](/fileadmin/_processed_/e/f/csm_IW-Report_2024-Europawahl_0550bc6bfb.png)
Europe votes: Who cares and why?
This study, based on the IW-People Survey 2024, shows that around 62% of Germans consider the election of the European Parliament to be important. This is the result of around 5,200 respondents. The proportion is therefore roughly as high as the voter turnout in 2019.
Matthias Diermeier / Judith Niehues / Samina Sultan IW
![Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently](/fileadmin/_processed_/c/6/csm_IW-Policy_Paper_2024-Ma%C3%9Fnahmen-strategische-Autonomie_28b60644f2.png)
Strategic autonomy and economic security achieve efficiently
In this study an analytical scheme is developed to operationalise the objective of strategic autonomy in a cost-effective way.
Jürgen Matthes IW
Your search returned an incorrect status. You may have selected too many filters. You can jump back to your previous selection to adjust your search.
With our new newsletters on the following topics you no longer have an IW publication.
We send out our topic-specific newsletters every month.
Register here
With our new newsletters on the following topics you no longer have an IW publication.