1. Home
  2. Studies
  3. Moderate Performance in the Wake of a Weaker World Economy
Research Group Business Cycle IW-Trends No. 4 23. November 2015 Moderate Performance in the Wake of a Weaker World Economy

IW Economic Forecast Autumn 2015

Download PDF
Moderate Performance in the Wake of a Weaker World Economy
Research Group Business Cycle IW-Trends No. 4 23. November 2015

Moderate Performance in the Wake of a Weaker World Economy

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

IW Economic Forecast Autumn 2015

Germany’s economic adjustment burdens have increased considerably in the course of 2015. Coping with a more slowly expanding world economy – particularly the global decline in investment activity – and with the uncertainties caused by the influx of refugees requires considerable flexibility. The Cologne Institute for Economic Research (IW Köln) expects only moderate increases in exports but a significant boost to growth from both private and public consumption. Investment activity, however, remains only moderate. There has so far been no sign of a fully-developed economic cycle. The number of both employed and unemployed persons will rise next year. Despite additional public spending caused by the inflow of refugees, a public sector deficit can be avoided.

Download PDF
Moderate Performance in the Wake of a Weaker World Economy
Research Group Business Cycle IW-Trends No. 4 23. November 2015

IW-Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur: Moderate Schlagzahl im Fahrwasser der schwächeren Weltwirtschaft

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

More on the topic

Read the article
Economic and Structural Influences Drive a Trend Reversal
Klaus-Heiner Röhl / Gerit Vogt IW-Trends No. 4 5. December 2023

Corporate Insolvencies on the Increase

After a prolonged decline, the number of corporate insolvencies has begun to rise again. The slight increase in 2022 could be interpreted as a step towards normalisation after the sharp drop experienced during the 2020/21 Covid19 pandemic.

IW

Read the article
Jürgen Matthes / Michael Grömling / Markus Demary / Björn Kauder / Berthold Busch / Gero Kunath / Thomas Obst External Publication 25. October 2023

Why Price Stability Matters

As of March 2023, overall infation is declining in Europe. However, core infation levels continue to remain well above the 2% mandate of the European Central Bank (ECB). In fact, the current bout of infation should continue to weaken as and when supply-chain ...

IW

More about this topic

Content element with id 8880 Content element with id 9713