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Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 2 24. June 2020 The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends

The high level of immigration in recent years has led to a significant shift in Germany’s demographic structure. Without the immigrants and their children born in Germany since 2007, the share of 20-to 29-year-olds in the total population in 2017 would have been 11.1 per cent - with them it was 12.0 per cent.

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The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends
Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 2 24. June 2020

The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

The high level of immigration in recent years has led to a significant shift in Germany’s demographic structure. Without the immigrants and their children born in Germany since 2007, the share of 20-to 29-year-olds in the total population in 2017 would have been 11.1 per cent - with them it was 12.0 per cent.

There are also clear gains from new immigration among 0-to-9 and 30-to-39-year-olds, whereas it has not led to any significant changes among 10-to-19 and 40-to-49-year-olds. The proportion of older people has declined as a result of immigration. From a demographic point of view, there is still a great need for immigrants, especially among those who were in their teens in 2017, as they will be needed to replace the baby boomers in the labour market. Mobility within the EU, which has been a mainstay of immigration in recent years, has little more to offer in this respect because the countries European immigrants have traditionally come from have themselves large demographic gaps in this age group. For this reason, immigration policy in the coming years will need to focus increasingly on third countries with still-growing populations. The focus should be on immigrants intent upon working or studying, since the contribution they actually make to meeting the challenges posed by the demographic transition will be determined by how successfully they can be integrated into the German labour market.

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The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends
Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 2 24. June 2020

Wido Geis-Thöne: Der Beitrag der Zuwanderung zur Stabilisierung der demografischen Entwicklung

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Employment shortly before and after retirement
Andrea Hammermann / Jochen Pimpertz / Oliver Stettes Expertise 11. November 2024

Employment shortly before and after retirement

As a result of demographic trends, around a quarter of all employees in the mechanical engineering sector are expected to retire in the next ten years. This corresponds to more than 296,000 people.

IW

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Philipp Deschermeier IW-Trends No. 3 14. September 2024

IW Population Forecast 2024

The demographic transition poses major challenges for policymakers, business and society as a whole. Policymakers seeking solutions to these challenges mainly base their decisions on the quantitative data of population forecasts.

IW

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