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Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 2 24. June 2020 The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends

The high level of immigration in recent years has led to a significant shift in Germany’s demographic structure. Without the immigrants and their children born in Germany since 2007, the share of 20-to 29-year-olds in the total population in 2017 would have been 11.1 per cent - with them it was 12.0 per cent.

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The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends
Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 2 24. June 2020

The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

The high level of immigration in recent years has led to a significant shift in Germany’s demographic structure. Without the immigrants and their children born in Germany since 2007, the share of 20-to 29-year-olds in the total population in 2017 would have been 11.1 per cent - with them it was 12.0 per cent.

There are also clear gains from new immigration among 0-to-9 and 30-to-39-year-olds, whereas it has not led to any significant changes among 10-to-19 and 40-to-49-year-olds. The proportion of older people has declined as a result of immigration. From a demographic point of view, there is still a great need for immigrants, especially among those who were in their teens in 2017, as they will be needed to replace the baby boomers in the labour market. Mobility within the EU, which has been a mainstay of immigration in recent years, has little more to offer in this respect because the countries European immigrants have traditionally come from have themselves large demographic gaps in this age group. For this reason, immigration policy in the coming years will need to focus increasingly on third countries with still-growing populations. The focus should be on immigrants intent upon working or studying, since the contribution they actually make to meeting the challenges posed by the demographic transition will be determined by how successfully they can be integrated into the German labour market.

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The Contribution of Immigration to Stabilizing Demographic Trends
Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 2 24. June 2020

Wido Geis-Thöne: Der Beitrag der Zuwanderung zur Stabilisierung der demografischen Entwicklung

IW-Trends

German Economic Institute (IW) German Economic Institute (IW)

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Possible Developments in the Supply of Skilled Workers up to the Year 2040
Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Report No. 11 7. April 2021

Possible Developments in the Supply of Skilled Workers up to the Year 2040

The German labor market is on the verge of a fundamental upheaval. While the number of people in the labor force has risen steadily in recent decades, it is likely to drop significantly as soon as the baby boomers retire.

IW

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Wido Geis-Thöne IW-Trends No. 1 8. February 2021

The Social Situation of Young People from Non-German-Speaking Families

An analysis of the microcensus shows that in 2017, around 2.4 million children and adolescents in Germany lived in non-German-speaking households. This corresponds to 17.7 per cent of all minors (under the age of eighteen) and 47.0 per cent of those with a ...

IW

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