Schnell wachsende Länder und Rohstoffreichtum auf der einen Seite, Armut, Korruption und bewaffnete Konflikte auf der anderen Seite: In Afrika stehen große Chancen großen Problemen gegenüber.
Unsicherheiten bis hin zu kriegerischen Auseinandersetzungen sind eine Belastung für die betroffenen Volkswirtschaften. Länder mit besonders hoher Konfliktneigung weisen niedrigere Wachstumsraten und Investitionsquoten auf als die Vergleichsgruppe der Schwellen- und Entwicklungsländer.
Over the last few years the African continent has received considerably more international attention – most recently at the G20 meeting in Hamburg – and with it has come increasing discussion of the continent’s economic opportunities and its integration into international value chains.
How does the EU Commission’s idea of closer scrutiny of Chinese investments into European companies square with the same Commission’s advocacy in favour of open markets and free movement of capital? It is a delicate balance to strike between intervention and free markets. The EU needs to be careful not to lose credibility and scare away foreign investors which could endanger the many advantages of inflowing foreign direct investment.
At this week’s G20, global trade will come into the spotlight. It will present EU leaders with the daunting task of juggling economic sanity and political reality, write Ilaria Maselli and Jürgen Matthes for Euractiv. Ilaria Maselli is a Senior Economist at The Conference Board. Jürgen Matthes is a Senior Economist at the Cologne Institute for Economic Research. They are the co-authors of the new report, Ensuring Accountability in Modern Trade Policy.
The heads of state and government of the seven major advanced nations in the world are currently meeting in Sicily. The main topics at the G7 Summit will be free trade, climate protection and migration policy. The positions of the politicians present differ considerably, progress is hardly possible. Also, because US President Donald Trump misconstrues facts.
Menschenrechte, Gewaltenteilung, Demokratie: Die Werte des Westens erodieren. Ist unser Gesellschaftsmodell am Ende? Nein. Doch die transatlantische Erzählung braucht eine lebenspraktische Übersetzung. Ein Gastbeitrag von Michael Hüther, Direktor des Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln und Russell Berman, Professor für Geisteswissenschaften an der Stanford University und Senior Fellow an der Hoover Institution.
When Angela Merkel meets Donald Trump on Friday, the elephant in the room will be transatlantic trade. With its export surplus, Germany is the focus of criticism by the US president. Yet, the surplus in the trade balance of other EU countries with the US is higher – after accounting for the size of the economy.
Is Germany’s trade surplus really that bad? Those demanding action need to come up with better reasons than simply referring to economic models, writes a leading German economist.
International traders’ and investors’ expectations were raised after Iran had pledged to implement the landmark nuclear deal negotiated with the US, UK, France, Russia and Germany. While the Islamic Republic constitutes a trading hub with great economic potential, large amounts of goods or investment sums have yet to cross its borders. Instead, US-imposed sanctions that should have been lifted months ago de facto remain in place.
At the beginning of 2016 the price for crude oil plummeted once again. Model simulations show that the greatest positive effect of this fall is to be expected in private consumption. The...
Managing Director, Head of the Research
Tel+49 221 4981-750
Head of the Research Unit International Economics and Economic Outlook
Tel+49 221 4981-754