Konjunkturampel

The Business Cycle Traffic Light (Konjunkturampel) captures at a glance the changes in important economic indicators for Germany, the Eurozone, the USA and China.

Jan Cholewa / Henry Goecke / Michael Grömling ·
IW-Report No. 2 ·
2 February 2016

The IW Business Cycle Traffic Lights

The State of the Economy at a Glance

IW Business Cycle Traffic Light ·
Press Release No. 74 ·
14 December 2015

Hardly any positive signs

The economic outlook for Germany, the Eurozone and China looks rather grim according to the IW Business Cycle Traffic Light. Almost all of the important economic indicators have stagnated or experienced a setback in the fourth quarter of 2015. While things look a little better in the US, consumer confidence has decreased dramatically in all four regions.

Jan Cholewa / Henry Goecke / Michael Grömling ·
IW-Trends No. 2 ·
27 April 2015

IW Business Cycle Traffic Light

Concept, Data and Evaluation

This can only be achieved by establishing which improvements and deteriorations in the short-term development of the economy can be defined as relevant. Like its individual underlying indicators the Business Cycle Traffic Light represents the status of information a varying number of months ago, thus partly reflecting the inevitable recognition lags in business cycle diagnosis.

Prof. Dr. Michael Grömling

Head of the Research Group Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecast

Tel+49 221 4981-776

Mailgroemling@iwkoeln.de

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Konjunkturampel

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The IW Business Cycle Traffic Lights

Hardly any positive signs

IW Business Cycle Traffic Light

Prof. Dr. Michael Grömling