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International Economics and Economic Outlook

Scientists in the competence area International Economic Order and Business Cycle call for open markets and rules at European and global level.

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International Economics and Economic Outlook After the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area and the Brexit referendum, priority must be given to putting economic policy in Europe on an optimal course without setting the wrong long-term incentives. One of the key questions is whether deeper integration is really essential for bringing stability to the euro area. Moreover, the EU needs to sort out its future, particularly regarding issues like a more variable geometry, the EU budget and its regional policy.

In addition, our researchers analyse the business cycle and investigate other macroeconomic issues. For example, given the demografic change and the currently slow productivity growth, we examine the prospects for growth and investment in Germany, Europe and the world. This is an issue closely connected with the future viability of the German business model with its heavy bias towards exports.

The economists in this research unit also take an active part in economic policy debates, be it discussion of the German current account surplus, Germany’s attractiveness as a location for investment or the threat to open markets by Brexit and Trumponomics.

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      Sections of the Research Unit

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      Cooperation Partners

      • Association of European Conjuncture Institutes (AIECE)
      • International Network for Economic Research (INFER)
      • Confindustria
      • COE Rexecode
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      Contact

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      Jürgen Matthes

      Jürgen Matthes

      Head of the Research Unit International Economics and Economic Outlook

      Tel: +49 221 4981-754
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      Berthold Busch

      Dr. Berthold Busch

      Senior Economist for European Integration

      Tel: +49 221 4981-762
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      Michael Grömling

      Prof. Dr. Michael Grömling

      Head of the Research Group Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecast

      Tel: +49 221 4981-776
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      Galina Kolev

      Prof. Dr. Galina Kolev

      Senior Economist, Head of the Research Group Macroeconomic Analyses and Business Cycles

      Tel: +49 221 4981-774
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      Studies and contributions

      159 results
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      China's digital policy: a threat to European business models
      IW-Kurzbericht No. 73 1. October 2021

      China's digital policy: a threat to European business models

      Vera Demary / Jürgen Matthes

      China is making great strides in regulating digitization. Some aspects are similar to European approaches, but Chinese laws on data security and protection go much further. This may result in a threat to European business models.

      IW

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      Key Issues for Reforming the World Trade Organization
      External Publication 28. September 2021

      Key Issues for Reforming the World Trade Organization

      Jürgen Matthes / Kyungjin Song / Chris Hattingh / Stephen Ezell / Philip Thompson

      The members of the Global Trade & Innovation Policy Alliance (GTIPA), a network of over 40 think tanks in 26 nations, have come together to articulate a positive vision that trade, globalization, and innovation—if conducted on private enterprise-led, market-based, rules governed terms—can maximize welfare for the world’s citizens (GTIPA, 2017).

      IW

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      Their development, the status quo and current issues
      IW-Analyse No. 144 16. September 2021

      The Central and Eastern European Countries in the EU

      Berthold Busch

      In economic terms, the enlargement of the EU to include the Central and East ern European countries (CEECs) has been a success.

      IW

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      The transatlantic economic relations and their outstanding significance for the future of the European and the German economy
      Expertise 6. September 2021

      The transatlantic economic relations and their outstanding significance for the future of the European and the German economy

      Galina Kolev

      The EU and the US remain each other’s most important economic partners, despite the con-frontative course of the Trump administration and China’s rise as a global economic power. This is particularly the case as interconnectedness and the role of foreign affiliates in exchanging know-how and services have been gaining importance as the very fundamentals of future globalization.

      IW

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      Supply bottlenecks and price developments for raw materials and inputs
      IW-Report No. 27 9. August 2021

      Supply bottlenecks and price developments for raw materials and inputs

      Hubertus Bardt / Matthias Diermeier / Michael Grömling / Michael Hüther / Thomas Obst

      Having experienced strict economic lockdowns, the post-pandemic period various sectors report severe supply side bottlenecks and price increases for intermediate goods.

      IW

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