Michael Hüther in The ECB and Its Watchers Image
Quelle: Erk Fotolia

Do you think that additional nonstandard monetary policy measures are necessary in the current economic situation of the euro area? If so: Will the expanded asset purchase program work?

The ECB’s policy rate near the zero lower bound does not only constrain the conduct of monetary policy but it also endangers financial stability. The ECB’s large scale asset purchases are necessary for preventing deflationary dynamics; they are, however, no substitutes for structural reforms in the Eurozone economies.

How do the potential costs of the taken non-standard monetary policy measures (such as moral hazard problems for governments or increased risk-taking) compare to their (desired) benefits?

The risks arising from large scale asset purchases are real. Nevertheless, non-standard policy measures are unavoidable in the current situation. These risks can, however, be curtailed by governments sticking to their reform plans. The ECB’s possibilities to exit early from non-standard policy measures crucially depend on the fulfillment of their reform agenda.

What do you think are the largest challenges for monetary policy resulting from the new European financial regulatory architecture?

Conflicts between monetary, macroprudential and microprudential policy will challenge the ECB. To avoid this, the macroprudential mandate should be defined more narrowly. Otherwise the ECB has to continuously trade off the price stability goal against the financial stability goal.

What do you think are the largest international challenges resulting from the ECB’s expanded asset purchase program?

Ultra-expansive policy measures will weaken the Euro, especially when the Fed starts to exit from QE. Governments will be tempted to conduct beggar-thy-neighborpolicies and they will pressure their central banks to depreciate their currencies. It will be challenging for central banks to withstand political pressures.


Brexit-Wirkungen auf Deutschland?
IW-Kurzbericht, 25. Oktober 2016

Galina Kolev / Jürgen Matthes / Berthold Busch Brexit-Wirkungen auf Deutschland?Arrow

Wie wirken sich die Pfund-Abwertung und der Wachstumsrückgang im Vereinigten Königreich auf die deutsche Wirtschaft aus? Die kurzfristigen Auswirkungen des anstehenden Brexit auf das Vereinigte Königreich waren bislang geringer als befürchtet. Daher stellt sich die Frage, welche Effekte für Deutschland in 2017 zu erwarten sind. mehr